Hi everyone, I am on a little bit of a run right now as I have now had 7 out of 8 winning weeks. My disaster of a midseason still has me under .500 but I am a 10-6 week away from climbing to the mountain top and over .500 (where I haven’t been since Week 4). So I will say let’s go and get it!!! Another Thursday night win for me, thank you Brock Purdy!!
SATURDAY SATURDAY SATURDAY!!!!!!
colts +4 over VIKINGS
I am going to start fading the Vikings down the stretch. This team just seems to be falling apart. The defense looks vulnerable in the passing game and up the middle in the running game. The Vikes will likely not be able to run the ball against one of the best run defenses in the game. Plus this game is in semi-primetime (well Saturday morning) so I’ll lay the points with this trash Colts team, ahh
Colts Win 24-23
ravens +3 over BROWNS
When in doubt take the points. Lamar Jackson will not be playing in this game but it appears Tyler Huntley will be. I always say when in doubt to take the points. I do not have a strong play here as the upstanding citizen will eventually knock off the rust and play well but against a Ravens defense that has been great outside of a 4th quarter in Duvall County recently I don’t know if that day is Saturday.
Browns Win 20-18 (Ravens Cover)
dolphins +7 over BILLS
I know it’s Miami in the snow but with the field conditions likely to be messier than pig pen at dinner time I think I am going to lay the points as I don’t see many points being scored. The Bills aren’t very equipped for a snow game either even though trying to tackle Josh Allen in a foot of snow sounds like a tough ask. Take the points and the under here and hold your breath with Tua in weather, ahh
Bills Win 13-8 (Dolphins Cover)
HUEVOS WINDOW
falcons +4 over SAINTS
Desmond Ridder is enough of a wildcard that I like the Falcons to at least cover and possibly win this game. Plus what would inspire anyone to take the Saints laying more than a field goal against anyone. Has Andy Dalton cast a spell on you? This team is still even 13 days afterwards shell shocked and devastated from blowing a 13 point 4th Quarter lead to Tom Brady. Birds take it outright, why not
Falcons Win 19-17
JETS -1.5 OVER lions
One of my locks of the year. Jared Goff outdoors in cold weather against an awesome defense, come on bro really to anyone taking Detroit. But Drew the Lions are so hot right now, they just beat the fraudulent 10-2 Vikings and smoked Trevor Lawrence by 26.. Yeah in a dome where it’s easy money with Jared Goff where he plays comfortable and great. Sharps are pounding the Jets for a reason.
Jets win 27-13
TEXANS +14 OVER chiefs
I think this is a put the Chiefs in a parlay with maybe (pick a team Packers, Eagles but more on them later), but the Chefs too many times play down to weaker teams in this spot. Can’t you see the Chiefs going up 21-3 at the half and then all of a sudden Scott Hansen is like let’s go to Houston where Davis Mills just cut the Chiefs early 4th Quarter lead to 8, yeah you know how it’s going to go here.
Chiefs Win 31-23 (Texans Cover)
BEARS +9 OVER eagles
Another stealing money game. Go and take the Eagles in a parlay and a tease. Haven’t we watched the NFL a ton over the years. I am not even using data logic here. Birds have looked too good recently and have a look ahead to Dallas next week spot here. When Justin Fields is looking awesome and the Bears are up 17-3 in the second Quarter thank me, upset alert for sure here. Birds pull it out.
Eagles Win 29-28 (Bears Cover)
PANTHERS -2.5 OVER steelers
Another pick I absolutely love. I think the world underrates how fast and physical this Panthers defense is. Also, did Steve Wilks just get a bad shake the one year in Arizona. That was a really bad roster with a bust at Quarterback. He has another perceived Pac-12 So Cal QB drafted in the first round of the 2018 draft on his new team. Exactly, with Sam Darnold, Wilks is winning games and wins again.
Panthers Win 23-16
cowboys -4 over JAGUARS
The Jags are a trendy money line pick amongst gamblers everywhere, people love to bet against the Cowboys and after last week of course fade them. I think this would be a very good upset pick but after an embarrassing win last week I think the Cowboys are buttoned up in this game. Plus Trevor Lawrence still will do dumb things when pressured which the Boys do very well, bounce back.
Cowboys Win 27-17
TACOS WINDOW
BRONCOS -3 OVER cardinals
As deadpool so eloquently put it, rock meet bottom. You think Kyler Murray tearing his ACL on Monday night at home in a game you lose your 11th out of 12th games you played in your building is low (I will kindly not include the Mexico debacle) how about you go up to rocky mountains and get your ass kicked by Brett Rypien and Nathainel Hackett, this is really going to happen. Sad times in desert.
Broncos Win 23-9
RAIDERS -1 OVER patriots
Another pros vs Joes game here. The bets are towards the Pats yet the line shifted from Pats minus 1 to the Raiders minus 1. Why because the money (pros) is on Vegas. I think this is my third duh pick of the week. The Vaders just had the dumbest loss of the entire season in which a win would have them in the thick of the playoff race. Plus this one is personal to Josh McDaniels, L.V wins it.
Raiders Win 24-17
CHARGERS -3 OVER titans
Maybe I am too high on the Chargers in this spot and I hate taking the Bolts as a favorite but with Mike Williams, Corey Linsley and Keenan Allen all back I think this passing attack is going to eat up a Titans defense that has been awful as of late. I know Derek Henry is lurking against a crappy run defense but don’t you think Justin Herbert can outscore Ryan Tannehill in a high scoring game, me too.
Chargers Win 28-20
BUCS +3.5 OVER bengals
We all know that God loves his only son. Yes Thomas Edward Brady is who I am referring to. Yes I am primarily picking the Bucs because they I am fading the Bengals when they are at their highest peak and the Bucs are at their lowest. But isn’t that what we do in the stock market? We buy low and sell high. The Bucs getting 3.5 at home seems like I am getting value, and yes God still loves Tom.
Bucs Win 23-20
SUNDAY NIGHT
giants +4.5 over COMMANDERS
Yup this feels like a value play to me. It’s gross betting on the Giants right now but let’s remember this. We are fading the Commanders as a bigger than 4 favorite. Washington has won by more than one score only once (a 23-10 win over the worst team in Football) could they win by 5 or 6 sure they can. But the first meeting just two weeks ago was a 20-20 tie, this game is pimples ugly.
Commanders Win 20-17 (Giants Cover)
MONDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
rams +7 over PACKERS
Yes I am riding the Baker Mayfield train again. I believe in Baker Mayfield reviving his career over these final four weeks. I also believe in this. This game lives up to the hype it was supposed to be three months ago. It is a riveting and entertaining game that Mason Crosby wins at the horn. The Packers playoff hopes are actually alive and well, laugh if you will but Aaron Rodgers is Freddy Kruger.
Packers Win 27-24 (Rams Cover)
This Week: 1-0
Last Week: 7-6
Season: 100-102-7