Hi everyone, hope everyone is doing well. All I can say is to please just fade me. I am wrong on games right now and even though i will give rationale on why I like who I like it’s just not working out. After some inflammatory comments by Ron Rivera towards Carson Wentz I changed my pick on last nights game. See where that got me!!! Anyways let’s make some picks and pray I get some right shall we.
AM WINDOW
bucs -8.5 over STEELERS
I cannot take the Steelers right now even though this line is crazy high. The Bucs are getting healthy and isn’t Bucs defense still awesome? Kenny Pickett will have some good moments but right now against any outstanding defense I am going to ride the wave and say that the Steelers struggle to score points. Hey Mike there is a job in broadcasting if you do not want to withstanding rebuild.
Bucs Win 27-10
SAINTS +2 OVER bengals
Give me the Saints in this spot. The Bengals are not going to have Tee Higgins which means this is what they have to do to win, run the ball.. say it Richard RUN THE BALL!!!! Guess who is hasn’t been able to run the ball, yes the Bengals. I like Taysom Hill to do some fun gadget things and Andy Dalton actually has looked pretty damn competent so far this season, give me who dat to win and cover.
Saints Win 24-17
COLTS -2 OVER jaguars
Stay away stay away stay away stay away.. you know what I say though, I pick on ALL of the games. There is a huge revenge factor here. The Jags ended the Colts season last season. The Colts then got punked in Week 2 down in Duvall County. Jonathan Taylor and Darius Leonard returns. There is a scenario where the Colts finally get to the ground and pound they need to, AFC South is nuts.
Colts Win 24-19
patriots +2.5 over BROWNS
Sharps are with the Browns here but here is where I back Bill Belichick against a fatally flawed team. Oh so all you can do is run the ball with Chubb and Hunt well I am going to run blitz with 8-9 in the box all day long with exotic packages that confuse your offensive coaching staff. That means it’s going to fall on Jacoby Brissett to win it, don’t see it. I’m going with Bailey Zappe? Yup buy a t-shirt.
Patriots Win 23-20
jets +7 over PACKERS
J E T S JETS JETS JETS JETS.. Yes I love the Jets to cover and maybe even win outright. You know what the Packers can’t do. Hold leads, you also know what the Packers can’t do. Anything offensively in the second half. America’s mommy lover has scored 42 points in the second half in his two games since returning from injury. God help me here but I am going to take gangreen in Lambeau!
Packers Win 26-23 (Jets Cover)
GIANTS +6 OVER ravens
I think Vegas is trying to tell us something with how insanely high this line is but I am still going to take the G Unit because their coaching and in game adjustments makes me believe even if the Ravens take a lead they will not be able to help themselves to let the Giants back in the game. Plus a little bit of Wink Martindale revenge since the Ravens let him walk. Think Lamar wins, but it’s close.
Ravens Win 24-21 (Giants Cover)
DOLPHINS +3.5 OVER vikings
Okay you roped me in with the hook. This is the Skylar Thompson inflation. If Teddy Bridgewater or Tua starts this is probably Dolphins minus 1 or Dolphins minus 2.5. I think the line is fair but I do not trust this Minnesota Vikings team. It’s like having a klepto teenager kid and leaving the keys on the counter while your on vacation and not expecting them to joyride, yes don’t trust the Vikings.
Dolphins Win 20-19
FALCONS +5 over 49ers
Sharp money is flying in on the Falcons as the world knows that the Falcons are 5-0 ATS and the 49ers have so many injuries right now. This defense is awesome when fully healthy but literally half of that unit is out for this game (most notably Jimmie Ward and Nick Bosa) Falcons run the ball like hell and keep the game close like they also do just for that beautiful man on the other side to steal it.
49ers Win 23-22 (Falcons Cover)
LATE GAMES
panthers +10 over RAMS
Stay away stay away stay away stay away. The Rams have looked bad, like really bad and this line is inflated way too high due to a fired head coach. Even though I am advising to bet on Steve Wilks (yes take another swig #Redsea) but there is always the initial uprising for a interim head coach. Yes believe it or not P.J Walker is better than Baker Mayfield right now. Baker’s confidence is gone.
Rams Win 27-21 (Panthers Cover)
cardinals -2.5 over SEAHAWKS
Sharps love Seattle. Just watching Cowherd blazing 5, he took Seattle. Most of the experts on CBS.Sports took Seattle. Bill Simmons underdog parlay, he took Seattle. This is an indictment against you Kliff Kingsbury. You have the far better Quarterback and far better roster. Because of you nobody believe in you! I will take the Cards to win because I think Kyler makes enough plays on terrible defense
Cardinals Win 34-27
CHIEFS +3 OVER bills
You look at the metrics and you say yes the Bills are 5.5 points better than the Chiefs (and anyone else for that matter) on a neutral field. Josh Allen is elite and this defense is otherwordly. Why LOVE the Chiefs at this number. Stefon Diggs and the media just gave an elite QB and coach bulletin board material and football is an emotional game. I cannot fade Mahomes getting points at home, can’t.
Chiefs Win 27-24
SUNDAY NIGHT!!
EAGLES -6.5 OVER cowboys
It was there last week for the Rams to turn Cooper Rush into a pumpkin but the Rams decided to give team Lone Star 9 points right away without Rush doing a damn thing to allow him to throw 16 times without any real stress. Against the best first half team in football that changes. Cowboys nation is more than ready for Dak Prescott to return after Rush throws 4 picks with a 30 passer rating.
Eagles Win 26-10
MONDAY NIGHT!!!
CHARGERS -4.5 OVER broncos
How many awful coaching decisions will we get in this game? 7, 8, 24? I know some analytics guys have been defending Brandon Staley, I cannot, he has cost his team too many games (and should have last week) with his numbers, geeky, non logical decision making. But you have Den that is more broken than a Seether song right now and Keenan Allen is returning, so give me Herbert!
Chargers Win 20-12
This Week: 0-1
Last Week: 5-11
Season: 37-41-3